#CrystalBasketball: Ranking the Miami Heat for 2019-20

How does every NBA player stack up heading into 2019-20, based solely on the level at which we expect them to play during the upcoming season?

That’s the question NBA Math staff members and a select group of site friends are seeking to address, ranking each and every player in the sport’s premier league on a 1-to-12 scale and then seeing who emerged with the highest averages. The distant past was irrelevant. Long-term potential doesn’t matter. Only what could come to pass in 2019-20 is factored in, assuming health for those currently healthy and full recoveries from those presently injured. For example, Kevin Durant will still be included in this analysis; we just assumed he’d already completed his rehab for the ruptured Achilles and now has that as a prior portion of his overall injury history.

All players were graded on the following scale by each evaluator, and ties between players with identical averages were broken by sorting the scores from best to worst and propping up the men who had the highest mark at any point in the top-down progression:

Shouldn’t Get Minutes
End-of-Bench Pieces
Depth Pieces
High-End Backups
Low-End Starters
Solid Starters
High-End Starters, Non-All-Stars
All-Star Candidates
All-NBA Candidates, Non-MVP Candidates
Lesser MVP Candidates
MVP Frontrunners
Best Player in the League (only one player could earn this grade on each ballot)

Journey with us team by team as we unveil the entirety of these rankings, culminating in a look at every player set to suit up for the 2019-20 campaign.

Today’s featured squad? The Miami Heat.

Shouldn’t Get Minutes: 1.00 to 1.49

T17. Jeremiah Martin, 1.14 (Not graded after 2018-19)

T17. Mychal Mulder, 1.14 (Not graded after 2018-19)

T17. Kyle Alexander, 1.14 (Not graded after 2018-19)

16. Chris Silva, 1.21 (Not graded after 2018-19)

15. Udonis Haslem, 1.33 (No change)

14. Duncan Robinson, 1.4 (0.02 down)

End-of-Bench Pieces: 1.50 to 2.49

13. Kendrick Nunn, 1.5 (Not graded after 2018-19)

12. Davon Reed, 1.67 (0.25 up)

11. KZ Okpala, 1.79 (Not graded after 2018-19)

Depth Pieces: 2.50 to 3.49

10. Derrick Jones, 2.93 (0.4 down)

9. Tyler Herro, 3.27 (Not graded after 2018-19)

8. Meyers Leonard, 3.33 (0.42 down)

High-End Backups: 3.50 to 4.49

7. Dion Waiters, 3.73 (0.27 up)

6. James Johnson, 4.2 (0.22 down)

5. Kelly Olynyk, 4.4 (0.43 down)

Low-End Starters: 4.50 to 5.49

None

Solid Starters: 5.50 to 6.49

4. Goran Dragic, 5.53 (0.53 up)

3. Justise Winslow, 5.67 (0.13 up)

2. Bam Adebayo, 6.13 (0.9 up)

High-End Starters: 6.50 to 7.49

None

All-Star Candidates: 7.50 to 8.49

None

All-NBA Candidates: 8.50 to 9.49

Jimmy Butler, 9.07 (0.5 up)

Lesser MVP Candidates: 9.50 to 10.49

None

MVP Frontrunners: 10.50 to 12.00

None

Many thanks to Adam Fromal, Adam Spinella, Andy Bailey, Arjun Baradwaj, Ben Leibowitz, Dan Favale, Eris Spyropoulos, Jacob Bourne, Jordan McGillis, Josh Eberley, Matt Way, Mo Dakhil, Rory Bresail, Ryan Blackburn and Tom Rende for their grading contributions.