Coach Spins’ Clipboard: Trade Deadline Targets Part 2
Last week on the clipboard, we noted some of the players most likely to be traded and some of their strengths. Whether because of under-the-radar positives or simple areas that positively impact the game, these are veterans or youngsters who would benefit from a change of scenery and provide aid to a team acquiring them.
This week we continue with a similar trend, looking at six of my favorite trade targets who could provide a boost for some team looking to make moves between now and February 9:
1. Evan Fournier’s Shooting Prowess
Never Google has been a bright spot for the Orlando Magic these past few campaigns. In each season of his six-year career, he’s improved his scoring average and done so without sacrificing his efficiency from two or from behind the three-point line. Now averaging 18 points, 3.3 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game, Fournier is one of the more reliable scoring threats on the wings.
With him signed through July 2021 (the final year being a player option) at $17 million per season, the Magic might be feeling pressure to unload Fournier and grip onto more cap space or younger assets. While he’s been a solid part of their scoring and their most consistent offensive threat, it’s hard to imagine a scenario where he’s the top wing on a good playoff team. If the Magic can squeeze a first-rounder and some shorter contracts out of a trade, they should pull the trigger on a deal.
He’s certainly proved to be worth a first-round pick despite his hefty long-term contract. Few players are better off catch-and-shoot situations than Fournier. He has a 71.8 effective field-goal percentage on catch-and-shoot jumpers and has made exactly 50 percent of his shots. These aren’t just stand-in-the-corner, wait-for-the-pass types of threes, either. He’s really good on the move, getting himself set to launch as he loops around the perimeter and steps into a rhythm three:
There’s a certain gravity that Fournier should have based on his shooting prowess, and Orlando has run a ton of action for him to utilize that physical force. Head coach Frank Vogel loves to run dribble-handoffs for Fournier out of Horns formations, where he sprints off down screens and gets a handoff from another player looking to crash into his defender. He’s got great balance, shows excellent feet and is able to change directions on a dime to create rim attacks:
All of that room to get toward the rim is out of respect for his three-point ability, where defenders that mark the dribbler think they need to step up to prevent an easy triple. He’s above 53 percent on his corner threes this year too, making him the type of player who doesn’t need a play dialed in order for him to produce a strongly positive impact. Those are the men who can be strong additions to a contender at the trade deadline because they don’t require an offensive overhaul to accommodate them. Then, starting next year, Fournier could become more of a focal point for a new offense.
Could the New York Knicks be compelled into giving up a pick in a chase of a sweet shooter like Fournier? Would Orlando eat considerable salary in order to take back picks from a team like the New Orleans Pelicans or Portland Trail Blazers? Can the Detroit Pistons architect a deal that’s palatable for both sides? Orlando has a lot of flexibility and will be an interesting wild card to watch at the deadline.
If I were a betting man, I’d guess Fournier is the most attractive piece that gets moved out of Amway.
2. Ennis the Menace
If I could only target one role player for a long-term spot on my team, it would be Memphis Grizzlies swingman James Ennis.
Yes, I realize Ennis will be an unrestricted free agent this summer, but he’s going to be a bargain. If I’m the general manager of a long-term contender projected to be at or above the cap, instead of using a coveted Mid-Level Exception on Ennis this summer, I’d trade for him now. Possessing his Bird rights would allow a team to take advantage of his three-and-D skills this season, keep him on that team-friendly deal this summer and save the MLE for someone else.
Memphis is looking to blow things up with players like Ennis who are likely to be free agents this summer. It won’t take an aggressive offer to nudge the Grizz into making a deal, either. And while the 27-year-old wing hasn’t had a stellar year thus far, he’s been more efficient than ever before in his career.
Ennis is shooting an outstanding 59 percent from two-point range, proving he’s more than just a spot-up three-and-D type of wing. He loves to attack in transition, using his long arms on the defensive end to start leak-outs and his wiry athleticism to finish the break. He’s got a great feel for when to push in transition and when to give the ball up. When teams don’t cover him, though, he makes them pay with some wicked assaults on the tin:
There’s really no shot type where Ennis is inefficient. A former bulk scorer in college, he’s got the ability to put the basketball in the hoop with the added benefit of not forcing a ton of contested looks. He’s a solid yet unspectacular defender; of players to log at least 900 minutes this year, Ennis is third on the Grizzlies in defensive points saved (DPS).
For a playoff team looking to add some length, shooting, transition finishing and solid defending to their rotation, they could do a lot worse than Ennis. Giving up a moderate second-rounder or a youngster to acquire him is the likely cost, and the prospect of keeping him long-term with Bird rights adds just one more sure thing to a team’s bench. Those are the types of acquisitions that fly under the radar but help squads remain competitive longer.
3. Kyle O’Quinn the Garbage Man
Who scores on 70 percent of their offensive-rebound opportunities, gets fouled 20 percent of the time he tries to score them and has averaged 3.4 offensive boards per 36 minutes for his career?
This guy:
Kyle O’Quinn is a glorified garbage man, and he wouldn’t have it any other way. The Knicks play some bruising two-big lineups, and KOQ has been a successful piece of that puzzle coming off the bench. With a glut of big men, however, O’Quinn is expendable and might be the dose of interior toughness and rebounding some of the more undersized playoff teams crave.
After a few years of failed experimentation on a three-point shot, O’Quinn has bagged those deep bombs. He’s taking a career-high 48 percent of his shots within three feet of the bucket. So much of that is driven by his second-chance points and all the physical work he does before the shot is hoisted:
Rebounding isn’t sexy. It isn’t glorious. But it is vital in physical postseason play.
With a small contract remaining, O’Quinn won’t be too difficult to move at the deadline.
4. Your Garrett is a Temple
The Sacramento Kings have to move this guy, right? He’s simply too good as a solid three-and-D wing to stick around past the deadline. Some contender will want to take him on as a rotational player; his contract isn’t egregious, and he can make an immediate impact to stop teams with poor one-on-one defenders from hemorrhaging points (here’s looking at you, Denver Nuggets).
Temple’s offense has improved greatly over the last few years, making him a playable NBA-caliber rotation member. He’s always been an incredible individual defender, using physicality, long arms, great instincts and a sizable amount of pride to win his matchups. Even when LeBron James tries to back him down one-on-one, the Kings wouldn’t send help. Temple was trusted to do his job and that’s exactly what he did:
Name a team that couldn’t use this type of skill.
Temple should be in demand right now, and he’s shooting 36 percent from deep on the season. There’s nothing about this guy that hurts a team—he can only help. And for that reason, he’s probably the most underrated wing in the NBA. Seriously, we need to see this guy in the playoffs this year.
5. The Tragedy of Julius Randle, Act 1
For all the talk of Magic Johnson turning things around in Los Angeles, things appear—for the most part—to be smoke. Johnson and head coach Luke Walton haven’t remained out of the LaVar Ball drama scene, their defense is deteriorating and the team is out of veteran assets worth a damn on the trade market. Brandon Ingram looks moderately improved but is still inefficient. Jordan Clarkson is overpaid, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been in and out of prison, and there’s been a rotating door of big men taking their lumps at the 4 next to Brook Lopez.
Los Angeles has wronged Julius Randle more than anybody. The fourth-year pro hasn’t found a niche with the Lakers despite having the appearance of an up-tempo, small-ball backup 5 who fits perfectly into their scheme. He’s a clunky fit next to ball-dominant, non-shooting Lonzo Ball, and the Lakers lack the snipers to surround him with players who allow him to attack the rim with gusto.
From a production standpoint, Randle has been outstanding despite these factors working against him. He’s only played 23 minutes a game, yet he’s averaging career highs in points (13.6), blocks (0.7) and free-throw attempts (4.2). His per-36 minute averages are absolutely blistering: 21.1 points, 10.9 rebounds, 3.2 assists, 1.0 blocks and 55 percent shooting.
And yet the Lakers don’t seem to want him or value him over the long-term. Perhaps they are overly focused on adding star power this summer and clearing enough room at the 4 to do so, but Randle has been absolutely outstanding for a team that has nothing to gain from tanking this season (its first-round pick will go to either the Philadelphia 76ers or Boston Celtics).
Some team should come swooping in for Randle and his restricted free-agent rights, making Magic and Rob Pelinka an offer they can’t refuse. Teams out of the playoff race but in need of a long-term center, like the Phoenix Suns, Dallas Mavericks, Atlanta Hawks or Chicago Bulls should absolutely pick up their phones and ask about Randle.
Few big men are better passers, and he’s proved outstanding at orchestrating offensive attacks while at the top of the key. Give him time by sagging off, and he’ll pick defenses apart with precision passing:
Of course, you must guard against those Randle bully drives too. He’s earned the nickname Baby Draymond for his role in this Lakers offense because of not only his passing, but his brutish strength when he lowers his head and scrambles towards the hoop. He’s a walking mismatch at the center spot, and his improved defensive ability off the ball and away from switches makes him a super attractive piece on that end of the floor as well.
One has to wonder just how high the asking price will be for Randle. He’s too good to be wasting away in Los Angeles, and the team is caught in a difficult position if they hang onto him past the deadline but are trying to chase LeBron James this summer. Any team could come in on July 1 and force their hand with a strong offer, eating away their cap space by asking the Lakers to match or lose him for nothing if they don’t.
6. Need a Veteran Point Guard? Call the Mavericks!
The war of words this past week between Washington Wizards superstar John Wall and Dallas Mavericks point guard J.J. Barea caught headlines on a busy Monday in the NBA, but it also served as a reminder that Barea is still relevant in the NBA. While it’s likely he won’t be joining Wall and all his “best friends” in the nation’s capital, he should be a strongly sought-after target at the trade deadline.
Barea is an incredibly efficient pick-and-roll scorer. He’d be the ideal addition for a team that runs a ball screen-centric attack, such as the Houston Rockets, Detroit Pistons, Minnesota Timberwolves or Miami Heat. J.J. is also in the 90th percentile across the league in spot-up efficiency, taking a role off the ball that helps teams not solely play through him when he’s in the game.
The issue with Barea is and always has been his defensive aptitude. A short point guard who lacks the power or length to combat switches, he routinely gets picked on at that end of the court. So for a contender like Houston, looking to add a punch to their bench who can defend some of the Warriors’ actions, Barea might not be the ideal fit.
Still, he’s too good as an upcoming free agent for the Mavericks to simply hang onto him. There’s a market for backup point guards, and Barea may be the best of the bunch. If Dallas can get a draft pick or valuable youngster out of the deal, it might be time to say sayonara to the beloved Dirk-Barea pick-and-roll.
All stats are current as of Jan. 23, 2018 and unless otherwise noted are courtesy of NBA.com, Synergy Sports Tech or Basketball-Reference.